League Two
05.09 · 17:00
· Finished
Chesterfield
3 : 3
Barnet
12.17
X3.71
23.25
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.20.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 10.5
1.80
low
2
2.60
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.4%
exp. goals
2.61
edge
-14.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
13.12.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
27.02.24
2:0
Under 2.5
11.11.23
4:2
Over 2.5 won