Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
74.3%
exp. goals
2.75
edge
-11.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.01.26
0:2
Under 2.5
27.09.25
1:7
Over 2.5 won
01.03.25
1:1
Under 2.5
17.08.24
2:3
Over 2.5 won