League Two
01.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Salford City
2 : 1
Newport County
11.67
X4.24
25.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.46.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 11.5
1.46
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.2%
exp. goals
2.78
edge
-8.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.02.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
19.08.25
1:0
Under 2.5
28.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
01.10.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won