League Two
01.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
11.91
X3.74
24.2
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.97.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
1.97
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
70.9%
exp. goals
2.06
edge
+38.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
26.04.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
26.10.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won
04.03.23
1:0
Under 2.5
16.08.22
3:2
Over 2.5 won