Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.9%
exp. goals
2.23
edge
+9.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.08.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
30.03.25
0:5
Over 2.5 won
04.08.24
0:0
Under 2.5
19.04.24
0:2
Under 2.5