Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
33%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Over 8.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
2.38
edge
+9.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
24.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
04.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5