Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75%
exp. goals
2.49
edge
-2.5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.02.26
2:0
Under 2.5
30.08.25
0:2
Under 2.5