Championship
01.09 · 21:45
· Finished
West Ham
4 : 2
Wolves
12.2
X3.78
23.45
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.42.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.42
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.2%
exp. goals
2.81
edge
-8.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.01.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
26.08.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
01.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5
09.12.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won