Championship
01.09 · 22:00
· Finished
Stoke City
1 : 0
Norwich
13.7
X3.62
22.25
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.03.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 19.5
1.76
high
2
2.30
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Over 19.5
1 author
50%
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73%
exp. goals
2.59
edge
-6.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.01.26
2:0
Under 2.5
27.09.25
1:1
Under 2.5
22.02.25
2:4
Over 2.5 won
19.10.24
1:1
Under 2.5