Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.3%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
+7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
13.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
28.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
27.09.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
13.04.25
2:0
Under 2.5