Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.1%
exp. goals
2.38
edge
+4.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.05.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
19.07.25
0:1
Under 2.5
17.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
01.11.24
3:3
Over 2.5 won