Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: Yes
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.4%
exp. goals
2.59
edge
-2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.03.26
0:2
Under 2.5
13.09.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
23.11.24
1:3
Over 2.5 won
10.08.24
3:1
Over 2.5 won