Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
64.3%
exp. goals
2.64
edge
-24.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.05.25
0:1
Under 2.5
12.03.25
1:5
Over 2.5 won
02.11.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won
31.08.24
1:1
Under 2.5