Premier League
04.09 · 22:00
· Finished
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
16.04
X4.93
21.57
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.83.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.26
medium
Over 10.5
2.40
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
3.29
edge
-8.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.01.25
1:4
Over 2.5 won
17.08.24
0:2
Under 2.5