Premier League
29.08 · 19:30
· Finished
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle
2
picks on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.74.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
2.20
high
Over 2.5
1.28
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82%
exp. goals
3.01
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.02.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
02.12.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
29.10.25
0:2
Under 2.5
03.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5