Premier League
30.08 · 16:00
· Finished
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
14.33
X3.75
23.12
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.40.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 7.5
1.40
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Over 7.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.2%
exp. goals
2.38
edge
+0.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
22.02.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
22.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5
08.02.23
2:3
Over 2.5 won
28.01.23
1:1
Under 2.5