Premier League
29.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Bournemouth
1 : 1
Everton
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.28.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
1.28
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.9%
exp. goals
2.52
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.02.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
02.12.25
0:1
Under 2.5
26.07.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
08.02.25
2:0
Under 2.5