Premiership
02.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Motherwell
3 : 0
Dundee Utd
12.15
X3.75
23.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.21.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.21
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.2%
exp. goals
2.63
edge
-5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
28.02.26
2:0
Under 2.5
13.12.25
0:0
Under 2.5
29.10.25
2:0
Under 2.5
22.02.25
0:1
Under 2.5