Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.7%
exp. goals
2.66
edge
-6.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.05.26
0:4
Over 2.5 won
28.04.26
1:0
Under 2.5
04.10.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
31.05.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won