Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.2%
exp. goals
3.31
edge
-7.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.05.26
0:2
Under 2.5
12.09.25
0:2
Under 2.5
09.05.25
1:1
Under 2.5
23.09.24
4:0
Over 2.5 won