Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
84.3%
exp. goals
2.18
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.07.25
0:0
Under 2.5
06.04.25
1:0
Under 2.5
30.11.24
1:0
Under 2.5
30.03.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won