Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.4%
exp. goals
3.30
edge
+0.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
06.05.26
0:2
Under 2.5
15.02.26
2:2
Over 2.5 won
03.11.21
2:1
Over 2.5 won
13.06.21
3:1
Over 2.5 won