Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Both teams to score: No
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73.2%
exp. goals
2.05
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
19.04.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
14.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
14.12.24
1:1
Under 2.5
24.08.24
2:0
Under 2.5