Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 4.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.2%
exp. goals
2.86
edge
-7.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.08.26
0:4
Over 2.5 won
22.02.26
1:1
Under 2.5
29.11.25
4:3
Over 2.5 won
24.05.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won