Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.1%
exp. goals
3.53
edge
-10.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.03.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
14.12.25
2:0
Under 2.5
14.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
15.05.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won