Challenge League
04.09 · 21:15
· Finished
FC Winterthur
4 : 0
Neuchatel Xamax FC
12.08
X4
23.37
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.75.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
2.75
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.2%
exp. goals
3.01
edge
-7.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.03.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
14.05.22
3:1
Over 2.5 won
18.03.22
0:0
Under 2.5
29.10.21
1:1
Under 2.5