Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 1.5
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.4%
exp. goals
2.67
edge
-12.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
30.04.22
2:1
Over 2.5 won
11.02.22
1:2
Over 2.5 won
30.10.21
1:0
Under 2.5
25.09.21
0:5
Over 2.5 won