Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
72.5%
exp. goals
2.10
edge
+6.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.08.26
1:0
Under 2.5
07.03.26
1:0
Under 2.5
24.09.25
0:1
Under 2.5
14.09.25
1:0
Under 2.5