Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Over 1.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 21.5
Fouls over/under
probability
84.3%
exp. goals
2.83
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
07.11.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
08.03.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
31.08.24
2:1
Over 2.5 won