Ekstraklasa
03.09 · 21:30
· Finished
Lech Poznan
2 : 1
Jagiellonia
11.67
X4.5
24.81
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.91.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.91
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.9%
exp. goals
2.92
edge
-8.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
28.09.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
16.03.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
14.09.24
5:0
Over 2.5 won