Ligue 1
04.09 · 20:00
· Finished
Lyon
3 : 1
Auxerre
11.54
X5.03
27.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.72.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 23.5
1.72
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Over 23.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.5%
exp. goals
2.88
edge
-2.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
25.04.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
23.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
13.04.25
3:1
Over 2.5 won
27.10.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won