Ligue 1
29.08 · 21:45
· Finished
Lyon
1 : 1
Le Havre
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.27.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 5.5
1.27
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.6%
exp. goals
2.87
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.03.26
0:0
Under 2.5
14.12.25
1:0
Under 2.5
16.03.25
4:2
Over 2.5 won
20.10.24
4:0
Over 2.5 won