Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.5%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
+3.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
03.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
18.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
10.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
20.09.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won