Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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Модель TheAnalyticD
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.7%
exp. goals
3.88
edge
+16.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
19.07.25
2:0
Under 2.5
31.01.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
29.11.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won
23.03.24
0:1
Under 2.5