Eredivisie
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2
PEC Zwolle
12.05
X4
23.9
4
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.27.
Picks on the match
4 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 21.5
2.11
medium
Under 2.5
2.88
high
Under 4.5
1.28
low
Over 11.5
2.80
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5
1 author
25%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
25%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 4.5
1 author
25%
Corners over/under: Over 11.5
1 author
25%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.9%
exp. goals
2.76
edge
-6.3%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5
08.11.25
0:1
Under 2.5
15.03.25
1:1
Under 2.5
30.11.24
0:1
Under 2.5