Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84.6%
exp. goals
3.84
edge
+16.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.04.23
0:4
Over 2.5 won
23.10.22
0:1
Under 2.5
06.03.22
0:1
Under 2.5
28.08.21
2:0
Under 2.5