Eerste Divisie
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Waalwijk
4 : 2
NAC Breda
12.9
X3.9
22.27
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.28.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.91
high
Under 3.5
1.65
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
3.19
edge
-4.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
09.02.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won
26.10.24
1:4
Over 2.5 won
19.07.23
3:2
Over 2.5 won
18.08.20
0:2
Under 2.5