Eerste Divisie
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
Helmond Sport
4 : 2
VVV Venlo
12.99
X3.75
22.57
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.91.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 10.5
1.91
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.5%
exp. goals
2.65
edge
-3.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.04.26
2:0
Under 2.5
13.09.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
13.04.25
1:4
Over 2.5 won
30.08.24
3:0
Over 2.5 won