Eerste Divisie
30.08 · 13:15
· Finished
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3
Heracles
14.6
X4.5
21.68
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.87.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
1.68
medium
Over 3.5
2.12
low
Under 3.5
1.82
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Over 3.5
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Over 2.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.5%
exp. goals
3.65
edge
+6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.01.23
1:0
Under 2.5
21.10.22
0:3
Over 2.5 won