Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.1%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
+1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
08.03.26
2:3
Over 2.5 won
18.01.26
0:2
Under 2.5
19.10.25
1:1
Under 2.5
31.08.25
0:0
Under 2.5