Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
81.8%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
+10.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
14.03.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
19.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
27.10.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
07.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won