Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.2%
exp. goals
2.25
edge
+2.8%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.05.26
0:0
Under 2.5
03.05.26
0:1
Under 2.5
15.02.26
0:1
Under 2.5
26.10.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won