Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.6%
exp. goals
2.82
edge
-6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.11.25
1:1
Under 2.5
23.08.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
25.04.25
0:3
Over 2.5 won
13.04.25
0:2
Under 2.5