First League
04.09 · 19:00
· Finished
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
12.7
X3.2
23.09
2
picks on the match
2
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.71.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 2.5
2.45
medium
2
2.96
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
50%
Match result: 2
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.5%
exp. goals
2.32
edge
-4.2%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
10.05.26
1:1
Under 2.5
06.04.26
0:0
Under 2.5
25.10.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
02.05.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won