Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (away): Under 0.5
1 author
50%
Corners over/under: Over 10.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
85%
exp. goals
3.03
edge
-0.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.02.26
4:0
Over 2.5 won
22.10.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
08.02.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
25.08.24
0:1
Under 2.5