Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
1
Which team has more corners
probability
80%
exp. goals
2.44
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.02.26
4:1
Over 2.5 won
24.08.25
2:0
Under 2.5
23.04.25
0:1
Under 2.5
30.10.24
2:2
Over 2.5 won