Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 4.5
Yellow cards over/under
probability
80.7%
exp. goals
2.92
edge
-9.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
17.04.26
0:3
Over 2.5 won
27.09.25
0:2
Under 2.5
12.04.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
28.12.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won