Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
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TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.7%
exp. goals
2.37
edge
-6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.03.26
0:0
Under 2.5
14.07.25
0:0
Under 2.5
28.01.25
1:1
Under 2.5
18.08.24
0:0
Under 2.5