Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Over 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.9%
exp. goals
2.20
edge
+3.6%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
27.02.26
2:0
Under 2.5
21.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5
11.05.25
0:0
Under 2.5
18.08.24
1:1
Under 2.5