HNL
04.09 · 21:00
· Finished
NK Varazdin
0 : 0
Istra 1961
11.83
X3.7
24.41
2
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.41.
Picks on the match
2 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.70
high
Under 2.5
2.12
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
50%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
50%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.3%
exp. goals
2.23
edge
-5.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
23.05.26
2:0
Under 2.5
20.03.26
1:2
Over 2.5 won
19.12.25
1:3
Over 2.5 won
03.10.25
0:1
Under 2.5